Europe is currently confronted with the prospects of having
to accommodate hundreds of thousands of migrants who have suddenly made their
way the continent, without due immigration processes. This has presented many
of the reluctant host countries with a great crisis which has left their
politicians and citizens perplexed and fearful, as well as the immense
practical arrangements which they have to make to meet the emergency and short-
and possibly long-term needs of these migrants.
In the first part of this post, I have touched on some of
the main challenges, such as the long-term demographical, infra-structural,
economic and religious ones, which I believe the situation has given rise to.
It is clear that, when confronted with the logistics of
massive unplanned migration of this scale, there is, in the short-term,
unlikely to be any immediate and identifiable benefits to the host
countries. The migrants, at least the
majority of them, are unlikely to be in any position to provide the host
countries with any benefits, outside of probably helping to deal with the
migration crisis, by acting as volunteers, translators and interpreters, etc. The local economies are also likely to show a sharp rise in business activities. We can see countries such as Greece, Sweden, and the former Baltic and Soviet
States either fearing that they will or are wilting under the logistics demands of
the migrants. Not surprisingly, many of
the Eastern European countries are resorting to putting up physical fences
along their borders with the their neighbours.
Europe is living in a state of apprehension and fear; being
aware of the need to help the desperate migrants, but also occupied by the fear
of a possibly irreversible and significant change in the ethnic and religious
make-up of the continent. It does not help that this seminal crisis probably
has its roots in the implementation of misguided and/or short-sighted American
and European policies in the Middle East, Africa and Asia; the impact, for a
change, is being felt first hand by the people of Europe and America. In the
past, America and Europe sent their armed forces to and/or support different
factions to fight for what is perceived to be their, America’s and Europe’s
interests.
Their foreign policies were
intended to ‘solve the perceived problems’ in the natives’ countries. It was
never intended that the natives would bring their problems to Europe and
America by way of massive and unregulated migration. Of course, the drivers of
this massive migration is not only the military conflicts which are taking
place in the Middle East, Africa and parts of Asia; it is also, if not even
more so, in some cases, poor people fleeing from poverty, famine and economic
blight.
And the benefits or opportunities of this migration to Europe? Well, the most often cited ones include the
increase in the pool of people looking for work, that it will increase the
younger age groups in Europe’s ageing population, and, it could also be argued
that making arrangements for the migrants could create some economic stimulus,
at a time when the world’s economy is, probably at best, sluggish.
The perceived benefit or opportunity arising from an
increase in the host countries' workforce is not a straightforward one,
since many of the potential workers might not have the required skills and
training for the available jobs.
Similarly, for this to be a benefit per se it would require the
migrants to have work skills and experiences which are required by their
European host countries.
The extent to
which this perceived benefit will be realised, and can be set off against any
disbenefit to the host countries’ workforce will take time.
The perceived positive impact of having younger migrants
becoming part of the population distribution has some merit, especially as it
is the younger generations who will have to help to pay for the welfare and
pension burden of the retired population.
Another arguable benefit to the host countries could be the
opportunity they provide to loosen the hold of archaic and fundamentalist or
orthodox Islam on the younger generations. Put simply, the exposure of secular
and non-theocratic Europe to more Muslims could, or should enable and promote
the development of progressive Islam.
A
version of Islam which is able to co-exist with other religions, people who do not believe in god and with
secular society.
The success of this process or project is vital, if non-Islamic Europe is to become the home of
tens or hundreds of Muslims, but without the Jihadists and the fundamentalists
taking the continent back into the dark ages of religious oppression, which Europe has escaped over the centuries of Enlightenment and the exercise of free will..
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